That arbitrary, capricious, whimsical force called luck visited Boulder County last week in the form of patchwork destruction. Up to a thousand homes and buildings in a single day were reduced to rubble, the result of some combination of a bone-dry prairie, a hurricane-force wind, and a spark from who-knows-what. Some homes managed to escape the fire's ravages even as neighboring houses were completely obliterated, the tell-tale mark of that invisible, otherwise undetectable, force known only by its works, luck.
One might plausibly argue that the enormous damage was actually a reflection of man's hubristic desire to domesticate nature. After all, grassland fires have visited the prairies somewhat regularly over the centuries such that the wanton construction of suburban housing therein quite literally "tempted fate." It is here where luck intersects with prudence.
Our focus, however, will be less on any lack of prudence at the wholesale level than on the role of chance at the individual level. For instance, what accounted for the micro-wind patterns that determined such a seemingly-random selection of targets.
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