America’s 250th anniversary is a cause for celebration and an opportunity to reflect on where this great experiment might be headed.
Those questions inspired the creation of the Highland Institute for the Advancement of Humanity, not merely to study the future, but to help shape it by bringing together scientists, entrepreneurs, philosophers, artists, and spiritual leaders in pursuit of human flourishing. Over the years, I have explored the forces shaping our past, present, and possible future.
I generally strive to follow Abraham Lincoln’s example by keeping my columns under 300 words. But on the occasion of America’s 250th anniversary, I feel compelled to set brevity aside and share a broader vision of what I believe could become America’s second founding.
Over the years, I have written frequently about the concept of the Fourth Turning. Historians William Strauss and Neil Howe argue that Anglo-American history tends to unfold in roughly eighty-year cycles. Whether their theory ultimately proves correct or not, the pattern is intriguing.
Looking across American history, I notice four recurring conditions that often accompany periods of profound change: major geopolitical conflicts leading to war, disruptive technological innovation, economic displacement among educated populations, and rising antisemitism. All four conditions are present today. If history offers any guidance, we are approaching another hinge in history.
Human civilization has advanced through an accelerating succession of breakthroughs. Stone tools gave way to bronze, bronze to steel, fire to steam, steam to electricity, electricity to computing, and computing to artificial intelligence. Each breakthrough has shortened the time until the next. Human progress increasingly follows a logarithmic curve rather than a linear one.
While Newton revealed many of the governing laws of the three-dimensional physical world, Einstein transformed our understanding of space and time. Today’s atomic clocks, including those maintained at the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) in Boulder, make the Global Positioning System so precise that it can often locate us within feet and, under ideal conditions, even inches.
I believe humanity’s next frontier will not be physical space, but the invisible realm explored by quantum physics—a world governed less by certainty than by probability. Quantum science is already reshaping computing, communications, sensing, cryptography, photonics, and materials science. We are only beginning to glimpse its possibilities…
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