I find myself drawn to the principles of Cliodynamics as I reflect on contemporary events, such as the significance of Trump’s re-election and regime changes afoot in France, Germany, Italy, Canada, and South Korea. The map of the entire Middle East is being redrawn after Israel morphed from an injured cornered animal to become a regional power with the potential to disrupt the world power balance.
Cliodynamics is the application of a dynamical systems approach to the social sciences in general and the study of historical dynamics in particular. More specifically, in End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites, and the Path of Political Disintegration, Peter Turchin defines Cliodynamics as an area of research that integrates cultural evolution, economics, macro sociology, and mathematical modeling of historical processes to explain the rise and fall of empires, population booms and busts, and the spread and disappearance of religions.
In my interpretation, the pendulum's swing causes kinetic energy to convert to potential energy and capital to cede power to labor. This cyclical phenomenon is often marked by a clear tipping point akin to the decline of the progressive woke movement following Donald Trump's election…
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